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Math & statistics

Binomial probability

Binomial probability with an explained formula, a worked example and checks for invalid or unsupported inputs.

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YOUR RESULT
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Enter your values, then select Calculate.

How it works

P(X=k) = n!/[k!(n−k)!] × p^k × (1−p)^(n−k). Sum these probabilities for the selected tail.

Input definitions

Independent trials (0–1000)
Enter the value in the labeled unit.
Successes (k)
Enter the value in the labeled unit.
Success probability (0–1)
Enter the value in the labeled unit.
Probability
Choose Exactly k / At most k / At least k.

A worked example

Independent trials (0–1000)
10
Successes (k)
5
Success probability (0–1)
0.5
Probability
Exactly k
0.2460937500000009

Assumptions & limits

Identical independent Bernoulli trials with fixed success probability; 0–1 probability input, not a percent.

Sources & review

Maintained by AnsRio. Methods and examples use automated checks; this does not imply independent professional certification.

Method updated 2026-10-17. Content checked against the stated method and examples. Our verification approach.

Common questions

What is the difference between exactly, at most and at least k?

Exactly k uses one probability mass. At most k includes all counts from zero through k. At least k includes k through the total trial count. Enter p as 0.5 for 50%.

Why can statistical results differ between tools?

Denominator, interpolation and boundary conventions can differ. Use the method and assumptions on this page to compare the same definition; displayed decimals may also be rounded.

How does the Binomial probability tool work?

P(X=k) = n!/[k!(n−k)!] × p^k × (1−p)^(n−k). Sum these probabilities for the selected tail.

What are the assumptions and limits of Binomial probability?

Identical independent Bernoulli trials with fixed success probability; 0–1 probability input, not a percent.

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